EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF FLOOD IMPACT ON FOOD SECURITY IN NIGERIA`S COASTAL REGIONS
Volume 10, Issue12 (10 - 2024)
Abstract
One common and recurrent natural disaster associated with the coastal region of Nigeria is
flooding. The disaster created by flooding is exacerbated by climate change and rising sea levels
with huge consequences such as food availability, accessibility, stability and utilization. The
impact of flood is profound and multifaceted in the region. Therefore, this study seeks to
empirically explore and examine the impact of flooding on food security in the coastal region of
Nigeria. Mixed statistical methods of Multiple Regression Analysis (MRA) and Geographically
Weight Regression (GWR) were utilized to assess the relationship between flooding and food
security indicators. Data for the study was collected from the coastal communities in Nigeria
affected by flooding over the years. The analysis demonstrated a significant negative impact of
flooding on food security in the coastal region of Nigeria. GWR analysis reveals that the severity
of food insecurity is more pronounced in communities with lower social economic status and
limited adaptive capacities. The study established that the quantitative independent variables are
statistically significant using the fitted model. Thus, the study underscores the critical need for
targeted intervention to enhance food security in flood affected coastal regions of Nigeria.
KEYWORDS:Flooding, Food security, Coastal region, Food prices, Climate change,
Empirical study, Agricultural productivity.
Sub-theme of the abstract: Climate change, sea level raise and coastal hazards.